US

100-Day Plan

Question A:

If all of the “Seven actions to protect American workers” in President-elect Trump’s 100-day plan (see link) are enacted, it will more likely than not improve the economic prospects of middle-class Americans over the next decade.

Question B:

If all of the “Seven actions to protect American workers” in President-elect Trump’s 100-day plan are enacted, it will more likely than not improve the economic prospects of low-skilled Americans over the next decade.

 
US

AT&T and Time Warner

A merger of AT&T and Time Warner would likely increase consumer surplus over the ensuing decade.

 
US

Science, Technology and Immigration

This week's IGM Economic Experts Panel statements:

A) Allowing US-based employers to hire many more immigrants with advanced degrees in science or engineering would lower (at least temporarily) the premium earned by current American workers with similar degrees.

B) Allowing US-based employers to hire many more immigrants with advanced degrees in science or engineering would raise per capita income in the US over time. 
US

Brexit II

This week's IGM Economic Experts Panel statements:

A) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the UK's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now.

B) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the rest of the EU's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now. 
Miscellaneous

The U.K. Can’t Block Immigration If It Wants To Keep Its Finance Industry

The Brexit vote will force the next U.K. prime minister to make a significant choice: Whether to control immigration into the country, or preserve the pre-eminence of the country’s financial center, known as the City of London. Doing both appears to be infeasible. Read article> 
US

Universal Basic Income

This week's IGM Economic Experts Panel statement:

Granting every American citizen over 21-years old a universal basic income of $13,000 a year — financed by eliminating all transfer programs (including Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, housing subsidies, household welfare payments, and farm and corporate subsidies) — would be a better policy than the status quo. 
PUBLIC POLICY & INSTITUTIONS

The Brexit May Be Just The Beginning of Anti-Europe Votes

One of the biggest consequences of the British vote to leave Europe is that other countries will consider doing the same. Populism and nationalism are on the rise all over the globe. Now that U.K. voters have been given a chance to express their preferences, I believe that it is almost inevitable that another government […]